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Table 3 Corn yield forecasts (bu/A) by year from 2013 through 2026 for Scenario 1 (medium yield technology), Scenario 2 (low yield technology), Scenario 3 (high yield technology), and Scenario 4 (no/minimal technology change factors)

From: Land usage attributed to corn ethanol production in the United States: sensitivity to technological advances in corn grain yield, ethanol conversion, and co-product utilization

Year

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Scenario 4

2011a

147.2

147.2

147.2

147.2

2012a

123.4

123.4

123.4

123.4

2013

170.2

153.1

187.2

166.0

2014

172.2

155.0

189.4

168.0

2015

174.5

157.1

192.0

170.0

2016

180.3

162.3

198.3

172.0

2017

183.1

164.8

201.4

174.0

2018

195.9

176.3

215.5

176.0

2019

198.7

178.8

218.6

178.0

2020

204.5

184.1

225.0

180.0

2021

207.3

186.6

228.0

182.0

2022

220.1

198.1

242.1

184.0

2023

222.9

200.6

245.2

186.0

2024

228.7

205.8

251.6

188.0

2025

241.5

217.4

265.7

190.0

2026

244.3

219.9

268.7

192.0

  1. aAll scenarios incorporate actual average yields for 2011 and 2012.