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Table 3 Corn yield forecasts (bu/A) by year from 2013 through 2026 for Scenario 1 (medium yield technology), Scenario 2 (low yield technology), Scenario 3 (high yield technology), and Scenario 4 (no/minimal technology change factors)

From: Land usage attributed to corn ethanol production in the United States: sensitivity to technological advances in corn grain yield, ethanol conversion, and co-product utilization

Year Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4
2011a 147.2 147.2 147.2 147.2
2012a 123.4 123.4 123.4 123.4
2013 170.2 153.1 187.2 166.0
2014 172.2 155.0 189.4 168.0
2015 174.5 157.1 192.0 170.0
2016 180.3 162.3 198.3 172.0
2017 183.1 164.8 201.4 174.0
2018 195.9 176.3 215.5 176.0
2019 198.7 178.8 218.6 178.0
2020 204.5 184.1 225.0 180.0
2021 207.3 186.6 228.0 182.0
2022 220.1 198.1 242.1 184.0
2023 222.9 200.6 245.2 186.0
2024 228.7 205.8 251.6 188.0
2025 241.5 217.4 265.7 190.0
2026 244.3 219.9 268.7 192.0
  1. aAll scenarios incorporate actual average yields for 2011 and 2012.