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Figure 6 | Biotechnology for Biofuels

Figure 6

From: Uncertainty in techno-economic estimates of cellulosic ethanol production due to experimental measurement uncertainty

Figure 6

Distribution of input yield variables and calculated minimum ethanol selling price (MESP) values from the Monte Carlo analysis of the techno-economic (TE) model. A total of 5000 runs were performed. The mode of the distribution is $2.17/gal and the 95 % confidence interval is $2.09-2.39/gal. Thus, the uncertainty in the MESP calculation caused by the uncertainty in primary measurement variables is half this range, or $0.15/gal.

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